{"hq_id":"hq-c-org-000490","name":"Progesterone","context":"human_adult","timestamp":"2026-10-27T17:56:44.170Z","derived_by":{"label":"ALETHEIA-derived","engine":{"commit":"a1c6e861599cc34c5db0318ea1a7ac13a327e074","commit_source":"vercel_env","tree_clean":null},"params":{"sha256":"88ae43137e58ed0cd65588409efefee0d90253da01ef4459bf9ee25f888ec9a0","files":["axes.json","context-specificity.json","regulatory-mappings.json","synthesis-params.json","thresholds.json"]},"clock":{"year":2026},"inputs":[{"id":"hq-c-org-000490","sha256":"c41265ec195fcca47c2ef71c08cf641d8ff99ce9566d50d18fd8f2384e59236f"}]},"risk_level":"moderate_to_high","risk_profile":{"magnitude":{"mean":0.522583,"weightedMean":0.522583,"std_dev":0.21792,"confidence_interval_95":[0.2,0.8],"source_positions":[{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":0.8,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.65,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.5,"weight":0.41},{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.2,"weight":0.35}]},"confidence":{"mean":0.73786,"weightedMean":0.73786,"std_dev":0.139778,"confidence_interval_95":[0.5,0.82],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.5,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.82,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.82,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":0.82,"weight":0.30176}]},"recency":{"mean":0.569919,"weightedMean":0.569919,"std_dev":0.258835,"confidence_interval_95":[0.368,1],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":1,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.5,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.368,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":0.368,"weight":0.30176}]},"methodology":{"mean":0.922993,"weightedMean":0.922993,"std_dev":0.131042,"confidence_interval_95":[0.7,1],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.7,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":1,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":1,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":1,"weight":0.30176}]},"specificity":{"mean":0.793637,"weightedMean":0.793637,"std_dev":0.074257,"confidence_interval_95":[0.75,0.92],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.92,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.75,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.75,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":0.75,"weight":0.30176}]},"consensus":{"exists":false,"strength":0,"disagreement_magnitude":0.335052,"warning":null}},"interpretation":{"summary":"Regulatory agencies show substantial disagreement. EPA CTX / CalEPA classifies as higher risk (80th percentile), while HQ_DIRECT concludes lower risk (20th percentile).","confidence_note":"Moderate-quality evidence base. Disagreement reflects methodological and interpretive differences, not data quality issues.","context_note":null,"warning":null},"sources":[{"id":"iarc_monograph_100a_combined_estrogen_progestogen_2012","type":"regulatory","title":"IARC Monographs Vol 100A 2012: Combined Estrogen-Progestogen Group 1; Progesterone Group 2B Vol 72 1999; Micronized Progesterone Favorable vs Synthetic Progestins; HRT Endometrial Protection; GABA-A Neurosteroid Allopregnanolone; CAFO Livestock Estrus Synchronization","year":2012},{"id":"r60-2026-09-30-d918-oehha-prop65-list-csv-own-url","type":"regulatory","title":"PROPOSITION 65 LIST OF CARCINOGENS OR REPRODUCTIVE TOXICANTS","year":2026,"url":"https://oehha.ca.gov/sites/default/files/media/2025-01/p65chemicalslist.csv"},{"id":"r60-ntp-roc-15th-listed-substances","type":"regulatory","title":"Substances Listed in the Fifteenth Report on Carcinogens","url":"https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/sites/default/files/ntp/roc/content/listed_substances_508.pdf"},{"id":"r60-2026-10-02-d983-ac4-ctx-apis-data-domains","type":"regulatory","title":"Computational Toxicology and Exposure APIs: Data Domains (EPA CCTE)","url":"https://www.epa.gov/comptox-tools/computational-toxicology-and-exposure-apis-data-domains"},{"id":"r60-2026-10-02-d983-ac4-ctx-dashboard-release-notes","type":"regulatory","title":"CompTox Chemicals Dashboard: Release Notes (EPA)","url":"https://www.epa.gov/chemical-research/comptox-chemicals-dashboard-release-notes"},{"id":"echa-chem-reach-registrations","type":"regulatory","title":"ECHA CHEM, Download all substances: REACH registrations (ECHA's own list of REACH-registered substances)","year":2026,"url":"https://chem.echa.europa.eu/"},{"id":"pubchem-computed-cid-5994","type":"database","title":"PubChem computed properties for CID 5994 (computed, not measured; as recorded by PubChem)","year":2026,"url":"https://pubchem.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/compound/5994"},{"id":"doc-2026-10-03-d975-ecotox-ascii-09-15-2026","type":"database","title":"EPA ECOTOX Knowledgebase ASCII release ecotox_ascii_09_15_2026","url":"https://gaftp.epa.gov/ecotox/ecotox_ascii_09_15_2026.zip"},{"id":"r60-2026-10-08-d974-tedx-list-full-export","type":"reference_database","title":"TEDX List of Potential Endocrine Disruptors, full export (Excel from the publisher's own search, operator-saved 2026-10-08; list last updated September 2018)","url":"https://endocrinedisruption.org/interactive-tools/tedx-list-of-potential-endocrine-disruptors/search-the-tedx-list"},{"id":"pubchem-exp-cameo-chemicals-cid-5994","type":"database","title":"CAMEO Chemicals, as recorded by PubChem (Experimental Properties, CID 5994; where-to-look, not a source of this value)","year":2026,"url":"https://pubchem.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/rest/pug_view/data/compound/5994/JSON?heading=Experimental+Properties"},{"id":"pubchem-exp-drugbank-cid-5994","type":"database","title":"DrugBank, as recorded by PubChem (Experimental Properties, CID 5994; where-to-look, not a source of this value)","year":2026,"url":"https://pubchem.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/rest/pug_view/data/compound/5994/JSON?heading=Experimental+Properties"},{"id":"ctx_pred_dtxsid3022370","type":"reference","title":"EPA CompTox CTX API: predicted properties for DTXSID3022370 (Progesterone)","url":"https://comptox.epa.gov/ctx-api/chemical/property/predicted/search/by-dtxsid/DTXSID3022370"},{"id":"pubchem-computed-structure-cid-5994","type":"database","title":"PubChem computed structure descriptors for CID 5994 (computed, not measured; as recorded by PubChem)","year":2026,"url":"https://pubchem.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/compound/5994"}],"sources_scope":"record","derived_markers":[],"warnings":["year_inferred:EPA CTX / NTP RoC:2021","year_inferred:EPA CTX / CalEPA:2021","unmapped_classification:US EPA (CompTox genotoxicity summary):epa comptox computed genotoxicity summary: negativ","unmapped_classification:US EPA (CompTox genotoxicity summary):epa comptox computed genotoxicity summary: negativ"],"meta":{"synthesis_version":"1.1.0","config_version":"1.1.0","n_sources":4,"db_version":46,"warnings":["year_inferred:EPA CTX / NTP RoC:2021","year_inferred:EPA CTX / CalEPA:2021","unmapped_classification:US EPA (CompTox genotoxicity summary):epa comptox computed genotoxicity summary: negativ","unmapped_classification:US EPA (CompTox genotoxicity summary):epa comptox computed genotoxicity summary: negativ"]},"schema":"synthesis","_notice":"ALETHEIA output is reference data, not professional advice. Not a substitute for primary agency sources or qualified professionals. See https://aletheia.holisticquality.io/disclaimer.","_disclaimer_url":"https://aletheia.holisticquality.io/disclaimer","available_contexts":["human_adult","human_child","aquatic_life","human_teen","human_elderly","human_infant","human_pregnant"]}