{"hq_id":"hq-c-org-000490","name":"Progesterone","context":"human_adult","timestamp":"2026-08-28T01:29:33.971Z","risk_level":"moderate_to_high","risk_profile":{"magnitude":{"mean":0.522583,"weightedMean":0.522583,"std_dev":0.21792,"confidence_interval_95":[0.5,0.8],"source_positions":[{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":0.8,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.65,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.5,"weight":0.41},{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.2,"weight":0.35}]},"confidence":{"mean":0.73786,"weightedMean":0.73786,"std_dev":0.139778,"confidence_interval_95":[0.82,0.82],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.5,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.82,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.82,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":0.82,"weight":0.30176}]},"recency":{"mean":0.569919,"weightedMean":0.569919,"std_dev":0.258835,"confidence_interval_95":[0.5,1],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":1,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.5,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.368,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":0.368,"weight":0.30176}]},"methodology":{"mean":0.922993,"weightedMean":0.922993,"std_dev":0.131042,"confidence_interval_95":[1,1],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.7,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":1,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":1,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":1,"weight":0.30176}]},"specificity":{"mean":0.793637,"weightedMean":0.793637,"std_dev":0.074257,"confidence_interval_95":[0.92,0.92],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.92,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.75,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.75,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"EPA CTX / CalEPA","year":2021,"value":0.75,"weight":0.30176}]},"consensus":{"exists":false,"strength":0,"disagreement_magnitude":0.335052,"warning":null}},"interpretation":{"summary":"Regulatory agencies show substantial disagreement. EPA CTX / CalEPA classifies as higher risk (80th percentile), while HQ_DIRECT concludes lower risk (20th percentile).","confidence_note":"Moderate-quality evidence base. Disagreement reflects methodological and interpretive differences, not data quality issues.","context_note":null,"warning":null},"sources":[{"id":"iarc_monograph_100a_combined_estrogen_progestogen_2012","type":"regulatory","title":"IARC Monographs Vol 100A 2012: Combined Estrogen-Progestogen Group 1; Progesterone Group 2B Vol 72 1999; Micronized Progesterone Favorable vs Synthetic Progestins; HRT Endometrial Protection; GABA-A Neurosteroid Allopregnanolone; CAFO Livestock Estrus Synchronization","year":2012}],"sources_scope":"record","warnings":["year_inferred:EPA CTX / NTP RoC:2021","year_inferred:EPA CTX / CalEPA:2021","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Genetox:genotoxicity: negative (ames: negative, 3 positive","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Genetox:genotoxicity: negative (ames: negative, 3 positive"],"meta":{"synthesis_version":"1.1.0","config_version":"1.1.0","n_sources":4,"db_version":44,"warnings":["year_inferred:EPA CTX / NTP RoC:2021","year_inferred:EPA CTX / CalEPA:2021","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Genetox:genotoxicity: negative (ames: negative, 3 positive","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Genetox:genotoxicity: negative (ames: negative, 3 positive"]},"schema":"synthesis","_notice":"ALETHEIA output is reference data, not professional advice. Not a substitute for primary agency sources or qualified professionals. See https://aletheia.holisticquality.io/disclaimer.","_disclaimer_url":"https://aletheia.holisticquality.io/disclaimer","available_contexts":["human_adult","human_child","aquatic_life","human_teen","human_elderly","human_infant","human_pregnant"]}