{"hq_id":"hq-c-org-000100","name":"Coal tar","context":"human_adult","timestamp":"2026-09-10T09:47:50.531Z","risk_level":"severe","risk_profile":{"magnitude":{"mean":0.723794,"weightedMean":0.723794,"std_dev":0.265224,"confidence_interval_95":[0.35,0.95],"source_positions":[{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.95,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.85,"weight":0.30176},{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.35,"weight":0.35}]},"confidence":{"mean":0.714515,"weightedMean":0.714515,"std_dev":0.150427,"confidence_interval_95":[0.5,0.82],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.5,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.82,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.82,"weight":0.30176}]},"recency":{"mean":0.627305,"weightedMean":0.627305,"std_dev":0.26675,"confidence_interval_95":[0.368,1],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":1,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.5,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.368,"weight":0.30176}]},"methodology":{"mean":0.901108,"weightedMean":0.901108,"std_dev":0.141025,"confidence_interval_95":[0.7,1],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.7,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":1,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":1,"weight":0.30176}]},"specificity":{"mean":0.806039,"weightedMean":0.806039,"std_dev":0.079914,"confidence_interval_95":[0.75,0.92],"source_positions":[{"source":"HQ_DIRECT","year":2026,"value":0.92,"weight":0.35},{"source":"IARC","year":2012,"value":0.75,"weight":0.41},{"source":"EPA CTX / NTP RoC","year":2021,"value":0.75,"weight":0.30176}]},"consensus":{"exists":false,"strength":0,"disagreement_magnitude":0.40775,"warning":null}},"interpretation":{"summary":"Regulatory agencies show substantial disagreement. IARC classifies as higher risk (95th percentile), while HQ_DIRECT concludes lower risk (35th percentile).","confidence_note":"Moderate-quality evidence base. Disagreement reflects methodological and interpretive differences, not data quality issues.","context_note":null,"warning":null},"sources":[{"id":"iarc_100f_coal_tar","type":"regulatory","title":"IARC Monographs Volume 100F: Coal Tar and Coal Tar Pitch — Group 1 Evaluation (Carcinogenic to Humans)","year":2012,"url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK304423/"},{"id":"fda_coal_tar_otc","type":"regulatory","title":"US FDA: Coal Tar — OTC Drug Monograph for Dandruff, Seborrheic Dermatitis, and Psoriasis Treatments (21 CFR 358 Subpart H)","year":2019,"url":"https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-21/chapter-I/subchapter-D/part-358/subpart-H/section-358.710"}],"sources_scope":"context","warnings":["year_inferred:EPA CTX / NTP RoC:2021","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Genetox:genotoxicity: positive (ames: positive, 3 positive","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Genetox:genotoxicity: positive (ames: positive, 3 positive","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Skin-Eye:skin sensitization: skin sensitisation - category ","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Skin-Eye:eye irritation: category 1 (score: very high)","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Skin-Eye:skin irritation: category 3 (score: moderate)","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Skin-Eye:skin sensitization: category 1 (score: high)"],"meta":{"synthesis_version":"1.1.0","config_version":"1.1.0","n_sources":3,"db_version":33,"warnings":["year_inferred:EPA CTX / NTP RoC:2021","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Genetox:genotoxicity: positive (ames: positive, 3 positive","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Genetox:genotoxicity: positive (ames: positive, 3 positive","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Skin-Eye:skin sensitization: skin sensitisation - category ","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Skin-Eye:eye irritation: category 1 (score: very high)","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Skin-Eye:skin irritation: category 3 (score: moderate)","unmapped_classification:EPA CTX / Skin-Eye:skin sensitization: category 1 (score: high)"]},"schema":"synthesis","_notice":"ALETHEIA output is reference data, not professional advice. Not a substitute for primary agency sources or qualified professionals. See https://aletheia.holisticquality.io/disclaimer.","_disclaimer_url":"https://aletheia.holisticquality.io/disclaimer","available_contexts":["human_adult","exposure_dermal","human_child","human_teen","human_elderly","human_infant","human_pregnant"]}